Top 5 Market Insights for Wednesday
Here are the top five things you need to know in financial markets on Wednesday, August 10:
1. Oil prices decline 1% ahead of U.S. stockpile data
Concerns about oversupply and bearish expectations for U.S. weekly crude inventory data contributed to a drop in oil prices. Reports indicated that Saudi Arabia had increased production to a record 10.67 million barrels per day in July to meet summer demand. Investors are anticipating inventory data later in the session to assess global supply and demand. The U.S. Energy Information Administration is expected to release its figures, with predictions of a decrease in inventories of 1.025 million barrels. After market closure on Tuesday, the American Petroleum Institute reported an unexpected rise of 2.1 million barrels in U.S. oil inventories for the week ending August 5, alongside a 4.0 million barrel drop in gasoline stocks. As of 9:56 AM GMT, oil prices had slumped by 1.24% to $42.24.
2. Dollar weakens as markets reconsider Fed rate hike expectations
The dollar index, which measures the greenback’s performance against a basket of six major currencies, experienced a decline as traders reassessed the likelihood of an interest rate increase by the Federal Reserve. An unexpected third consecutive drop in productivity reported on Tuesday dampened sentiment towards the dollar, reducing the chances for an imminent hike in rates. Current Fed fund futures reflect only a 40% probability of a rate increase by December.
3. Precious metals rally on dollar weakness
Precious metals, led by palladium, saw significant gains on Wednesday, experiencing the largest jump since 2010 partly due to declines in the dollar. Palladium prices surged as much as 8%, reaching their highest level in over a year, while other precious metals also witnessed upward movements. A weaker dollar typically increases the attractiveness of gold as an alternative asset and makes dollar-denominated commodities more affordable for holders of other currencies.
4. Bank of England addresses bond-buying shortfall, leading to lower gilt yields
In an effort related to quantitative easing measures introduced last week, the Bank of England reported a shortfall of £52 million ($68 million) in its bond-buying program. To address this gap, the Bank announced further purchases of U.K. sovereign bonds, prompting investors to buy into gilts, which resulted in a new record low yield of 0.531%.
5. Global stocks mainly lower as economic outlook dims
On Wednesday, global stock markets were generally down, influenced by disappointing productivity data from the U.S., which has affected the worldwide economic outlook. Major indices faced losses, while U.S. futures defied the trend, indicating minor gains. As of 9:57 AM GMT, the blue-chip index inched up by 5 points, or 0.02%, while other key indices also experienced slight upward movements.