
Top 5 Market Insights for Thursday
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Here are the top five things you need to know in financial markets on Thursday, July 21:
1. Yen rises after BOJ’s Kuroda rules out helicopter money
The yen experienced its largest surge against the U.S. dollar in almost a month on Thursday, following comments from Bank of Japan Governor Haruhiko Kuroda that indicated no intention to implement "helicopter money" to stimulate Japan’s economy. The dollar initially gained, reaching a high of ¥107.49, but then fell to ¥105.60, down 1.2% for the day.
2. Global stocks decline as BOJ stimulus hopes fade
Global stock markets mostly traded lower on Thursday after Kuroda’s remarks fueled speculation that the central bank may refrain from further stimulus at its upcoming policy meeting. This sentiment dampened investors’ appetite for riskier assets, resulting in a retreat from four-week highs. Additionally, markets were also cautious in anticipation of key earnings reports and economic data.
3. ECB decision and Draghi press conference on the horizon
The European Central Bank’s policy decision is scheduled for 11:45 GMT, with attention focused on the accompanying press conference by Mario Draghi 45 minutes later. Most analysts expect the ECB to maintain interest rates and hint at potential additional stimulus measures to counteract the economic impact of Brexit.
4. U.S. earnings season picks up momentum
General Motors, Southwest Airlines, Union Pacific, Blackstone, The Travelers Companies, Bank of New York Mellon, Domino’s Pizza, and Dunkin Brands are among numerous companies set to report second-quarter results before the market opens. After the close, Starbucks, AT&T, Chipotle, Visa, PayPal, Capital One, Schlumberger, and Boston Beer Company will be releasing their earnings. Recent trends indicate that the corporate earnings season may not be as bleak as anticipated, with 67% of the companies that have reported thus far exceeding earnings expectations.
5. U.S. economic data under scrutiny amid rate hike speculation
Key economic indicators are expected to be released, including data on jobless claims and leading economic indicators. Recent positive reports on housing starts, retail sales, ISM manufacturing, and employment suggest a rebound in economic growth during the second quarter. This could pave the way for the Federal Reserve to raise interest rates earlier than expected, with current futures pricing reflecting a 19% likelihood of a rate hike by September and a 51% chance by December.
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