Trump Maintains Lead in Arizona, Georgia, and North Carolina, NYT Poll Reveals

Trump Leads in Key Battleground States Ahead of Election

Washington – A recent poll conducted by New York Times and Siena College reveals that Republican candidate Donald Trump holds a lead among likely voters in the critical battleground states of Arizona, Georgia, and North Carolina. With just six weeks remaining before the presidential election on November 5, Trump surpasses U.S. Vice President Kamala Harris in these states.

In Arizona, Trump leads Harris by a margin of 50% to 45%. The figures are similarly close in Georgia, where Trump leads 49% to 45%, and North Carolina, where he holds a 49% to 47% edge. These results align with trends observed in other recent polls indicating a competitive race.

These three states are among a total of seven pivotal swing states that are likely to play a decisive role in the upcoming 2024 presidential election, which features Trump—who has been convicted of a felony—and Harris, who has the potential to be the first woman to assume the presidency.

Having served as president from 2017 to 2021, Trump is attempting to reclaim the White House after losing to Joe Biden in the 2020 election, an outcome he continues to attribute falsely to voter fraud. The 78-year-old former president is currently facing both federal and state criminal charges related to efforts to challenge the election results.

Vice President Harris, who is 59 years old, has reinvigorated the Democratic Party following Biden’s decision not to seek re-election. She aims to create a broader coalition that includes young adults, women, people of color, and even some Republicans.

The poll reflects a tight race consistent with findings from other national surveys, including those conducted by Reuters/Ipsos.

Taken between September 17 and 21, the survey coincides with notable developments in the North Carolina governor’s race. Reports have emerged regarding Mark Robinson, a Trump-endorsed Republican candidate. His controversial statements, including calling himself a "black NAZI" and suggesting the reinstatement of slavery, have resulted in the resignation of four of his top aides.

The Monday poll comes with a margin of error of plus or minus 4.4 percentage points for Arizona, based on responses from 713 participants; plus or minus 4.6 points for Georgia, derived from 682 surveyed; and plus or minus 4.2 points for North Carolina, also based on a sample of 682 individuals.